SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK

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SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK ( sustainable-world-energy-outlook )

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6.6 employment in the renewable heating sector Employment in the renewable heat sector includes jobs in installation, manufacturing, and fuel supply.This analysis includes only jobs associated with fuel supply in the biomass sector, and jobs in installation and manufacturing for direct heat from solar, geothermal and heat pumps. It is therefore only a partial estimate of jobs in this sector. 6.6.1 employment in solar heating In the Energy [R]evolution scenario, solar heating would provide 13% of total heat supply by 2030, and would employ 1.7 million people. Growth is much more modest in the Reference scenario, with solar heating providing less than 1% of heat supply, and employing only 75 thousand people. image WORKERS BUILD A WIND TURBINE IN A FACTORY IN PATHUM THANI, THAILAND. THE IMPACTS OF SEA-LEVEL RISE DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE ARE PREDICTED TO HIT HARD ON COASTAL COUNTRIES IN ASIA, AND CLEAN RENEWABLE ENERGY IS A SOLUTION. 6.6.2 employment in geothermal and heat pump heating In the Energy [R]evolution scenario, geothermal and heat pump heating would provide 10% of total heat supply by 2030, and would employ 582 thousand people. Growth is much more modest in the Reference scenario, with geothermal and heat pump heating providing less than 1% of heat supply, and employing only 11 thousand people. 6.6.3 employment in biomass heat In the Energy [R]evolution scenario, biomass heat would provide 27% of total heat supply by 2030, and would employ 2.6 million people in the supply of biomass feedstock. Growth is slightly less in the Reference scenario, with biomass heat providing 22% of heat supply, and employing 2.3 million people. 6 table 6.13: solar heating: capacity, investment and direct jobs Energy UNIT 2015 REFERENCE 2020 2030 2015 344 540 829 1,100 1,743 2,866 0.7% 1.0% 1.9% 13.3 19.1 124 92 75 1,352 ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION 2020 2030 2,132 5,434 7,724 20,010 5% 13% 261 326 2,036 1,692 Installed capacity Total generation Share of total supply Market and investment Annual increase in capacity Employment in the energy sector Direct jobs in installation & manufacturing GW 277 TWh 884 % 0.6% GW 13.3 thousands 121 table 6.14: geothermal and heat pump heating: capacity, investment and direct jobs REFERENCE Energy UNIT 2015 2020 2030 90 128 525 725 0.3% 0.4% 3.0 4.0 12 11 REFERENCE 2020 2030 37,311 38,856 22% 22% ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION 2015 2020 2030 340 986 2,479 2,001 5,959 15,964 1.3% 4% 10% 55.3 129 170 253 502 582 ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION 2015 2020 2030 38,233 40,403 42,600 25% 26% 27% 3,179 2,932 2,571 Installed capacity Total generation Share of total supply Market and investment Annual increase in capacity Employment in the energy sector Direct jobs in installation & manufacturing MW 75 PJ 438 % 0.3% MW 2.4 thousands 10 table 6.15: biomass heat: direct jobs in fuel supply Biomass heat Heat supplied Share of total supply Employment in the energy sector Direct jobs in jobs in fuel supply UNIT 2015 PJ 36,464 % 23% thousands 2,920 2,784 2,260 197 © GP/VINAI DITHAJOHN future employment | EMPLOYMENT IN RENEWABLE ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES

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