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8 WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK map 8.1: oil reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario WORLDWIDE SCENARIO NON RENEWABLE RESOURCE 125 109.3 36.8 33.9 36.9 83.8 28.9 86.0 24.1 LATIN AMERICA REF E[R] OIL 22.8 63.5 Canada ARCTIC OCEAN Azores Islands nary Islands rn Sahara Mauritania a Mali O C E A N G Georgia Syria Israel Jordan Afghanistan Greenland Iceland United Kingdom Ireland Mongolia United States Denmark Neth. Kyrgyzstan Myanmar LEGEND - ARTIC REGION Tajikistan Uzbekistan Turkmenistan TMB % 74.3 5.5% MB PJ TMB 74.3 5.5% MB PJ TMB % 2010 239.4 17.8% MB PJ 2009 1,569 9,600 TMB % 239.4 17.8% MB PJ 1,569 9,600 Bel. POSFraSncIeBLE OIL & Croatia 2010 Norway OECD NORTH AMERICA E[R] Germany Poland Czech Rep.Slovakia Nepal Switz. Portugal 200SEAMILEItaNlyATION&AMLonBt.OBuUlgaNriaDARY Sweden Finland Estonia Latvia Lithuania Belarus China Austria Hungary AS EXPRLoOmaRniaATION FIELDS enia Slov & Herz. Azerbaijan Iraq Pakistan Iran LL Bosnia Serbia 20In0di9a 2050 6,687H 40,923H 6,059H 37,080 6,687H 40,923H 552 3,193 2,436H 144 Russia Ukraine Mold. Kazakhstan REF energy resources & security of supply | OIL % 1988 1989 $ PER BARREL 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2010 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 Senegal au >60 50-60 40-50 REF E[R] REFERENCE SCENARIO ENERGY [R]EVOSLudUanTION SCENARIO Yemen Somalia 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 Guinea Liberia Ghana Chad Central African Republic erra Leone D'Ivoire Benin Ethiopia Morocco Kuwait U. A. E. Sri Lanka 30-40 20-30 10-20 Niger Cameroon Burkina Faso 5C-o1te0 0-5 % RESOURCES GLOBALLY Spain Albania Mac. Greece 194 1,186 Algeria LEGEND - WORLD MAP Egypt Nigeria Tunisia Qatar Saudi Arabia Oman Libya COST POSSIBLE MAIN DEEP SEA OIL EXPLORATION FIELDS Equatorial Guinea Sao Tome & Principe Gabon Congo Dem. Rep. TRADE FLOWS (MLLION TONNOEf CSon)go Rwanda Burundi Tanzania Mozambique Madagascar 60 50 Cyprus Lebanon 2009 2,436H 2050 1,668H 160 I N 1D50I A N RESERVESTOTALTHOUSANDMILLIONBARRELS[TMB] | SHAREIN%OFGLOBALTOTAL[ENDOF2011] Angola Zambia 40 30 20 10 0 CONSUMPTION PER REGION MILLION BARRZEimLbSabw[eMB] | PETA JOULE [PJ] Namibia Botswana CONSUMPTION PER PERSON LITERS [L] South Africa H HIGHEST | M MIDDLE | L LOWEST 212 YEARS 1988 - 2010 PAST YEARS 2010 - 2050 FUTURE Turkey Uganda Kenya Eritrea 0 1000 KM OCEAN crude oil prices 1988 - 2010 and future predictions comparing the REF and E[R] scenario 1 barrel = 159 litres SOURCES REF: INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY/E[R]: DEVELOPMENTS APPLIED IN THE GES-PROJECT 2050 2,433 14,890 LL 2009 555 555 2050 612 49 E[R] REFPDF Image | SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK
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