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8 WORLD ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION A SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK map 8.3: coal reference scenario and the energy [r]evolution scenario WORLDWIDE SCENARIO 1 5 34 39 energy resources & security of supply | COAL NON RENEWABLE RESOURCE REF E[R] mnt%mnt% 2009 245,088 28.6% 245,088 28.6% HHHH mnt PJ mnt PJ 2009 1,701 21,335 1,701 21,335 2050 1,145M 21,963 148 3,405 tt 2009 2.0 2.0 2050 1.6 0.2 COST coal prices 1988 - 2009 and future predictions for the E[R] scenario. $ per tonne SOURCE MCCLOSKEY COAL INFORMATION SERVICE - EUROPE. PLATTS - US. JAPAN STEAM COAL E[R] mn t % 12,508 1.5% mn t PJ 37 737 COAL LEGEND 175 150 216 >60 50-60 30-40 20-30 5-10 0-5 40-50 10-20 % RESOURCES GLOBALLY REF REFERENCE SCENARIO 125 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 TRADE FLOWS (MILLION TONNES) 25 20 2 10 25 3 E[R] ENERGY [R]EVOLUTION SCENARIO 0 1000 KM RESERVES TOTAL MILLION TONNES [mn t] | SHARE IN % OF GLOBAL TOTAL [END OF 2011] CONSUMPTION PER REGION MILLION TONNES [mn t] | PETA JOULE [PJ] CONSUMPTION PER PERSON TONNES [t] NW EUROPE US CENTRAL APPALACHIAN H HIGHEST | M MIDDLE | L LOWEST OECD NORTH AMERICA LATIN AMERICA REF mnt % 2009 12,508 1.5% mnt PJ 2009 37 737 YEARS 1988 - 2009 PAST YEARS 2009 - 2050 FUTURE 13 21 2050 80 1,741 tt 2009 0.1 0.1 2050 0.1 0.1M E[R] REF 38 873 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 $ PER TONNE 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050PDF Image | SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK
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