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SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK

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SUSTAINABLE WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK ( sustainable-world-energy-outlook )

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OECD EUROPE MIDDLE EAST CHINA EAST EUROPE/EURASIA REF E[R] mnt%mnt% 2011 80,121 9.4%M 80,121 9.4%M M mnt PJ mnt PJ 2009 980 13,134M 980 13,134M 2050 630 9,417 38 874 REF E[R] mnt%mnt% 2009 1,203L 0.1%L 1,203L 0.1%L mnt PJ mnt PJ 2009 6L 134L 6 134 2050 5L 116L 28 637 REF E[R] mnt% mnt% 2009 114,500 13.4% 114,500 13.4% mnt PJ mnt PJ 2009 2,840H 65,408H 2,840H 65,408H 2050 4,178H 96,223H 188H 4,334H REF E[R] mnt% mnt% 2009 224,483 26.2% 224,483 26.2% mnt PJ mnt PJ 2009 568 9,320 568 9,320 2050 846 12,184 142 3,274 tttttttt 2009 1.0 1.0 2009 0.0L 0.0 2009 2.1H 2.1 2009 1.2M 2050 1.6M GLOBAL REF mnt % mnt % 2009 856,630 100% 856,630 100% mn t PJ mn t PJ 2009 7,808 142,460 7,808 142,460 2050 10,880 226,245 846 19,484 tt 2009 0.9 0.9 8 2050 1.1 0.1 2050 0.7 0.1M 2050 0.0L 0.0L 2050 3.2H 0.1M 54 32 1 19 1.2 0.4H E[R] 42 AFRICA INDIA REF E[R] mnt % mnt % 2009 31,692 3.7% 31,692 3.7% 2009 mn t PJ mn t PJ 2009 192 4,414 192 4,414 2009 2050 586 13,493 40 921 2050 8 REF E[R] NON-OECD ASIA OECD ASIA OCEANIA REF E[R] mnt% mnt% 2009 77,447 9% 77,447 9% mnt PJ mnt PJ 2009 517 9,236 517 9,236 2050 392 8,319 26L 607L 2009 0.2 2050 0.3 CO2 EMISSIONS FROM COAL comparison between the REF and E[R] scenarios 2009 - 2050 billion tonnes SOURCE GPI/EREC 25 20 15 10 0.2 0.0L 2009 2050 0.5 1.0M 0.5 0.1M 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 2009 0.2 2050 0.7 RESERVES AND CONSUMPTION coal reserves versus global demand, production and consumption. global consumption comparison between the REF and E[R] scenarios. million tonnes SOURCE 1970-2050 GPI/EREC, 1970-2011 BP. 0.2 0.1M 2009 2.0 2050 1.9 2.0 0.1M 359 BILLION TONNES USED SINCE 2009 159 BILLION TONNES USED SINCE 2009 5 00 YEARS 2009 - 2050 YEARS 1970 - 2009 PAST YEARS 2009 - 2050 FUTURE DESIGN WWW.ONEHEMISPHERE.SE CONCEPT SVEN TESKE/GREENPEACE INTERNATIONAL. 217 mnt % mnt % 60,600 7.1%M 60,600 7.1%M mn t PJ mn t PJ 593M 13,084 593M 13,084 mnt % mnt% 2009 8,988 1.0% 8,988 1.0% mnt PJ mnt PJ 2009 374 5,658 374 5,658 2050 1,199 23,445M 76 1,754M 11 2 268 1,819 39,343 122M 2,803 tttttttt REF E[R] REF E[R] 24 264 REF E[R] REF global consumption E[R] global consumption 857 BILLION TONNES PROVEN 2011 25 20 energy resources & security of supply | COAL 2009 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2009 2010 MILLION TONNES 2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 BILLION TONNES

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