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Unconventional Energy Resources

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Unconventional Energy Resources ( unconventional-energy-resources )

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supplier on supplier competition and the introduc- tion or expansion of alternative transportation cor- ridors—Capesize Gulf-based shipment through the enlarged Panama Canal is an example. The Guar Gum Story: Nothing Cures High Prices Like High Prices For economic historians, mineral economists, and managers of some of the largest oil/gas well service companies and others, the recent, dramatic boom/bust of guar gum prices is a case study of the linkage of engineering to volatile agricultural mar- kets. Also, it is a reminder that derivative instru- ments so widely used to manage risk in energy markets owe their origin to risk management in agriculture.21 2012 is the year in which this saga came to a head. The line between gain and casualty depends on a combination of outright luck, risk management practices, and point of view. Guar gum is a thickener used in hydraulic fracturing fluids. Its primary source is India, source 21Early trading occurred in rice (Japan). The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) was established in 1848 and introduced ‘‘forward’’ contracts in 1851. The first non-agricultural product, silver futures, did not trade on the CBOT until 1969 (CME Group timeline, http://www.cmegroup.com/company/history/timeline-of-achieve ments.html). of 70–80% of the worldÕs supply and perhaps 96% of world trade. The hydraulic fracturing boom led to escalating demand, rising prices, and then intense speculation in guar seed and gum trading in India. Exports are only permitted for the gum, not the seeds. Prices did not reach $1.00 per pound until early 2011 (Fig. 38). Facing escalating oil industry demands and poor weather, prices peaked on March 27, 2012 at 95,920 rupees per 100 kg or $8.62/pound at then current exchange rates. This triggered IndiaÕs Forward Markets Commission to suspend trading for over a year, to May 14, 2013. During the short- ages and with up to 20,000 pounds required per well, guar gel alone was reported to comprise as much as 30% of a hydraulic fracturing job. Plantings in- creased enormously. Guar seed crops have become American Association of Petroleum Geologists, Energy Minerals Division Figure 37. (A) Expected global coal demand. (B) China and India coal imports. Source: Boyce, (2013, Peabody global analytics (A, B) and India market watch (B). *U.S. 2012 consumption added for reference to (A) by Jeremy B. Platt, based on U.S. Energy Information Administration Monthly Energy Review (http://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/ data/monthly/index.cfm). Figure 38. Guar gum price boom 2010–2012. Source: NCDEX data in Pensa (2012).

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