Geothermal Research and Tech IEA

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and 8) the ubiquitous shallow geothermal resources utilized by geothermal heat pumps for heating and cooling and available almost anywhere on the earth‘s surface. Recent estimates indicate that using current technology hydrothermal resources, available at some 10-15% of the earth‘s surface and home to ~15% of the world‘s population, could provide 70-80 GWe by 2050. In addition, development of other geothermal resources, including: EGS, super- critical fluids, hot water co-produced with oil and gas, hot water from deep sedimentary basins, and off-shore (under-sea) ―hydrothermal‖ resources located along submarine rifts, using advanced‖ technologies could deploy another 80 GWe by 2050, resulting in a total global geothermal power deployment of some 160 GWe generating 1,260 TWh/yr by 2050. This would provide an estimated 8% of world‘s electrical power to some 15% of its population and save about 1 Gt of CO2 emissions (Mongillo and Bromley, 2010b). Direct use technical potential has recently been assessed at >320 EJ/yr, with a probable deployment of 815 GWth and utilization of 8.35 EJ/yr by 2050 (ibid.). Geothermal development for electricity generation and direct use has experienced a high growth rate worldwide for the past few years (Figure ES2 and Table ES3) and future prospects continue to look very positive. Geothermal is a significant global renewable energy resource, with many valuable characteristics, including its: extensive global distribution, environmentally friendly character, independence of season, immunity from weather effects, indigenous nature, contribution to development of diversified power, effectiveness for distributed application, sustainable development capabilities and small areal foot-print. Though geothermal predominantly operates as a baseload provider of electricity with availability and load factors typically well above 90%, it can also operate in a load- following capacity, although at lesser efficiency. Geothermal resources have the potential to make a considerable contribution towards meeting the world‘s current and future energy needs well into the future, while contributing to the reduction of emissions and the mitigation of climate change. The global geothermal potential is enormous; however, attaining their maximum deployment requires continued R&D. Status of Global Geothermal Energy in 2010 In 2010, worldwide geothermal data was comprehensively updated for reporting at the World Geothermal Congress 2010, held on 25-29 April 2010, in Bali, Indonesia (Bertani, 2010). Twenty-four countries were producing electricity from geothermal resources, with a total geothermal installed capacity exceeding 10,892 MWe, with electricity generation of 66,184.1 GWh, based on 2010 data (Bertani, 2010), updated with 2010 GIA Country Member data (Figure ES2, Table ES1). In 2010, the 9 GIA Member Countries having geothermal generation contributed about 63% of the global installed geothermal capacity, and 60% of the total geothermal power generated. During the period 1950 to 1970 the worldwide geothermal installed capacity growth rate was quite small, then began to accelerate following the energy crisis of the early 1970s, increasing by a factor of >6.5 between 1970 and 1985. Between 1985 and 2005, the worldwide geothermal installed capacity increased by a factor of about 2.3, at a very uniform rate of ~210 MWe/yr (Figure ES2). However, between 2005 and 2010, the rate of increase grew significantly, with a linear trend of about 385 MWe/yr to the end of 2010; nearly double that of the previous 5 year period. The capacity increase in GIA Member Countries was: 2010 (6,833 MWe) – 2005 (5,449 MWe) ~ 1,284 MWe, or about 20% (4%/yr). Table ES1 presents the 2010 data for GIA Member Countries and the other 15 countries with geothermal power generation (Bertani, 2010). Table ES2 5

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