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GLOBAL STATUS REPORT Renewables 2011

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GLOBAL STATUS REPORT Renewables 2011 ( global-status-report-renewables-2011 )

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03 InDuSTRy TRenDS Growth opportunities were focused mainly on China and other emerging markets as GE Wind supplied turbines to Brazil; Gamesa planned to triple investments in China by 2012; and Repower and Suzlon signed contracts in Turkey and Bulgaria.3 Among the top 10 global manu- facturing firms, Vestas of Denmark easily retained its number-one ranking, but Sinovel of China edged ahead of GE Wind in 2010 to take second place.4 (See Figure 13.) Across most renewable energy technologies, renewables industries saw continued growth in equipment manufac- turing, sales, and installation during 2010. Technology cost reductions in solar PV in particular meant high growth rates in solar PV manufacturing. Cost reductions in wind turbines and biofuel processing technologies also contributed to growth. At the same time, industry consolidation continued, notably in the biomass and biofuels industries, as traditional energy companies moved more strongly into the renewable energy space. The year 2010 saw the emergence of increasingly vertically integrated supply chains. And the trend continued for manufacturing firms to move into project development. In China, firms Sinovel, Goldwind, Dongfang, and United Power saw strong growth driven by continued political and regulatory support and lower labor and manufactur- ing costs. Continued technology development at these firms also meant a smaller and closing gap in technologi- cal parity with overseas firms. Sinovel, for example, launched a 5 MW turbine model in 2010.5 It appeared that industry consolidation might be on the horizon in China as a draft government policy called for narrowing the industry to far fewer than the existing 100-plus firms. The major developers of wind projects in China remained predominately state-owned enterprises: Longyuan, Datang, Huaneng, Huadian, CPI, and Guohua.6 Longstanding trends in internationalization of the industry also continued. Global wind turbine manufac- turers focused their attention on the Chinese market, and solar PV manufacturers in China also sold more products in Europe than ever before. At the same time, a changing policy landscape in many countries (see Policy Landscape section) contributed to some industry uncer- tainties or negative outlooks, for example with biodiesel production in the United States and solar PV installations in Spain.1 In Europe, industry activity focused increasingly on offshore technologies and on project development in Eastern Europe. The largest turbine to be financed so far, RePower’s 6 MW model, was deployed in C-Power’s 300 MW Thornton Bank project in Belgium, one of nine off- shore wind farms developed in 2010.7 And Transpower’s high-voltage cable transmission infrastructure is being installed in the North Sea, laying the base for German offshore connectivity by 2013. Project developers became more aggressive in Eastern Europe, for example in Ukraine, where at least 10 project developers were active in 2010 due to a new feed-in tariff.8 n wind Power Industry Although the wind power industry saw manufacturing volumes remain constant at their 2009 levels, manufac- turing capacity increased substantially during 2010.2 Project developers were challenged by competition with natural gas prices at three-year lows (leading to reduced sales), the continued challenge of obtaining project finance, and access to transmission. Industry leaders Vestas, Gamesa, Hansen Transmissions, and GE Wind all lowered sales forecasts during 2010. In the United States, 14 new turbine manufacturing plants were established in 20109. The U.S. industry was hampered, however, by late extension by the U.S. Congress Source: BTM Consult ApS - a part of Navigant Consulting 03 figure 13. Market Shares of Top 10 wind Turbine Manufacturers, 2010 Vestas, Denmark 14.3% Sinovel, China 10.7% GE Wind, USA 9.3% Goldwind, China 9.2% Enercon, Germany 7.0% Others 20.2% United Power, China 4.1% Siemens Wind Power, Denmark 5.7% Gamesa, Spain 6.4% Dongfang, China 6.5% Suzlon Group, India 6.7% 39 RENEWABLES 2011 GlObal STaTuS RePORT

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