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To calculate technical potential for GSHPs rigorously, one would adjust for the number of installation sites that are not technically feasible for ground loops, such as sites having: • Insufficient outdoor space (urban areas or densely built suburban areas) • Unsuitable soil conditions • Restrictive environmental regulations or ownership constraints on drilling or excavating, ground‐water use, or use of glycol solutions underground. We did not adjust technical potential for these factors, as they are difficult to quantify. Therefore, our technical potential estimates may be optimistic. 3.9.1 Residential Technical Potential. Figure 3‐21 shows the estimated technical potential primary energy savings for various advanced technologies for the typical ASHP baseline. Figure 3‐22 shows the technical potential primary energy savings compared to the typical furnace and air‐conditioner baseline for three furnace‐fuel types. Technical potential varies by census region primarily due to differences in baseline equipment installed base, but also due to regional differences in climate and seasonal heating and cooling efficiencies. Assuming typical‐efficiency GSHPs are installed, total technical potentials are about: • Typical ASHP Baseline: 0.5 Quad • Typical Natural‐Gas Furnace and Air‐Conditioner Baseline: 2.1 Quad • Typical Fuel‐Oil Furnace and Air‐Conditioner Baseline: 0.3 Quad • Typical Propane Furnace and Air‐Conditioner Baseline: 0.2 Quad • Total Technical Potential Primary Energy Savings: 3.1 Quad. U.S. Department of Energy 53PDF Image | Ground‐Source Heat Pumps
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