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7 Summary/Conclusions A summary, observations and conclusions follow. 7.1 Summary We conducted this investigation to: • Summarize the status of GSHP technology and market penetration globally • Estimate the energy saving potential of GSHPs in the U.S. • Identify and describe the key market barriers that are inhibiting wider market adoption of GSHPs • Recommend initiatives that can be implemented or facilitated by the DOE to accelerate market adoption. We used information/data obtained from: • • • Available literature related to GSHPs Interviews with selected industry experts A spreadsheet analysis to evaluate the energy savings and economics by U.S. census region for representative residential and commercial applications. Our energy‐savings and economics analysis compares two high‐efficiency technologies (GSHPs and advanced ASHPs) to two standard‐efficiency baseline systems (conventional ASHPs and furnaces with air conditioners). We used general relationships between economics and market penetration to project ultimate market penetrations of GSHPs and associated national primary energy savings. 7.2 General Observations/Conclusions Some general observations and conclusions about the potential for GSHPs are summarized below. 7.2.1 Fundamental Economics and Market Potential Based on this analysis, both GSHPs and advanced ASHPs show potential for significant unit energy savings (per‐installation savings) when displacing typical‐ efficiency ASHPs. While GSHPs generally have efficiency advantages, advanced ASHPs tend to be somewhat more economical (as measured by simple payback period). While the GSHP market may continue to expand for many years, GSHPs are unlikely to capture a major share of the heat‐pump market. U.S. Department of Energy 80PDF Image | Ground‐Source Heat Pumps
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