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Idea Geothermal Wood Biomass Landfill Gas Rationale Large Medium Small Refineries and Chemical Plants Market Size for OFC 30 GW installed by 2020. Growing industry with substantial low temperature heat resources; current ORC players all target geothermal. Over 200 ORC installations to date (approximately 200 MW), but primarily in Europe and at small sizes. Overall market size expected to be large, but fewer low temperature applications expected. Food & Beverage Production Large Large Estimated 5+ GW of potential capacity at lower temperatures, based on industry research. Metals Manufacturing Medium Glass & Ceramics Fabrication Small Overall waste heat opportunity is large, but predominately at temperature outside of range for OFC. Cement Production Land Transportation Small Marine Transportation Solar Thermal Small Remote Waste Heat / Pipeline Growing market, but very few ORC installations to date. High value of power, however, fewer applications exist and are dominated by incumbent ORC players. Small Compressors Simple Cycle Large Large Small Transportation represents a large resource of exhaust heat, however, very little penetration to date by ORC due to other market considerations (technological complexity, for example). Table 11. Potential Applications for Organic Flash Cycle and Relative Market Size82,83 Technological Complexity: OFC technology is specific to heat resources <300°C and has clear temperature restrictions. Many of the applications identified may produce heat resources >300°C, which are more appropriately serviced by other heat recovery methods – steam generation, pre-heat combustion air, etc. In addition, there are power and size implications, as manufacturing applications may require much smaller systems than, for example, geothermal power plants. Considerations on technology complexity have been made and are reported in the following table. Geothermal applications have been identified as the least complex, since they have been largely developed in the last few years and the system provides an ideal range of temperature for ORC and OFC system (50-300°C). Technological complexity considerations include considerations on the installation experience and the learning curve in building ORC installations, which for most of the applications is not as well developed as it is for geothermal. 23PDF Image | ElectraTherm Commissions 10 Green Machines
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