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120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 2004Œ09 2009 Figure1.2 Growth rates of installed capacity of RE during 2004 to 2009 (source: REN21) 1.2.2. International Challenges Various external challenges exist which affect the promotion and the development of renewable energies, and these are: • Climate change due to the release of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere; • Developing economies are transforming from agriculture to industrial based economies. This results in the growth of energy use as the manufacture of domestic products relies increasingly on industrial production; • Expansion of urbanization and modern cities shows change in energy consumption patterns; • Renewable energy developments are still dependent on foreign donors and investors; • Income generation and employment derived from renewable energy development are not very high. 1.2.3. Trend of Renewable energy Development In the reference Scenario, it was estimated that World's Total Primary Energy (TPES) Demand will grow with a rate of 45% between 2006-30, or about 1.6% per annum (Figure 1.3). 3 EnergyIntensity decreases1.7%perannum.Decreaseofenergyintensityisduetoswitchingto market service oriented in many non-OECD and efficiency improvement in energy sector and energy consumption in OECD member’s countries. Hydropower has become important energy resource for power generation and such role will be unchanged in the reference scenario. While large hydropower resources of developed countries have already exploited, the large hydropower projects development will take place in non-OECD countries. Hydropower growth rate is around 1.9% per year and the share in TPES demand will remain 2%. By 2030 the share of hydropower in world total power generation will be 14%. 3 -is the expense of energy per unit of real GDP (-in term of Purchase Power parity) 6 27% 32% 19% 21% 20% 10% 12% 41% 4% 4% 51% 9% 60% 53% 44% 102%PDF Image | Renewable Energy Development Strategy in Lao PDR
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