REN21 Renewable Energy Policy Network

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REN21 Renewable Energy Policy Network ( ren21-renewable-energy-policy-network )

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the technical potential and the cost distribution assessed here are based on a combination of sources. However, often we preferred to refer to one literature source as for this source the meth- odology was consistent, next to the technical potential also costs are reported in a consistent man- ner or because the results are easily compared to other sources. Assessing a technical potential for the long term is subject to various uncertainties. The distribu- tion of the theoretical resources is not always well analyses, e.g. the global wind speed or the pro- ductivity of energy crops. The geographical availability is subject to issues as land use change, subjective factors on where technologies can be installed and accessibility of resources, e.g. for geothermal. The technical performance will develop on the long term and the rate of development can vary significantly over time. The economic factors as future investment or O&M costs, and the distribution of the resources are subject to factors as learning by doing, economies of scale, R&D expenditures. Next to these inherent uncertainties we add one additional uncertainty by us- ing different studies. There is a discrepancy in the used type of potentials and costs between the studies. 9

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