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REN21 Renewable Energy Policy Network

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Crop and pasture land Commercial forestry Residues for energy Other land use Climate Soil Management Food trade Diet Productivity Population Wood demand Crop productivity Land available for energy crops Crops for energy Figure 4: Schematic representation of main parameters influencing the potential of primary biomass: residues and energy crops Most of the studies that have been considered here have incorporated all the parameters men- tioned above. However, understandable, there is a large variation between the assumptions on the future land use changes and land use management practices. Table 3 indicates the ranges of the biomass as found in various literature sources allocated to the regions we have here. There are some more extreme values on the potential found in the literature, see e.g. Berndes et al., 2003, Hoogwijk, 2003, but we consider the type of potential assessed in these studies rather a theoreti- cal potential and do not include these figures in this overview. Studies that have been taken into account are: Berndes, et al., 2003; Yamamoto et al., 2001; Wil- liams 1995; Hall et al., 1993; Hoogwijk, 2004; EEA, 2006; ASES, 2007; FAO/RWEDP, 2000. The ranges of biomass energy potential are based on the ranges from these studies. The type of potential that is assessed in these studies are all the technical potential in the sense that all pa- rameters are included. However as can be seen from Figure 4 many assumptions are required that result in more optimistic or pessimistic figures for the technical potential, being more theoretical or more realistic. We have therefore taken the average of these studies. 13

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