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the near term. As a result, the number of new installations is forecast to be significantly lower in 2013.35 In 2012, wind energy installation services were estimated at $7.4 billion, or 32 percent of the broader market for wind power project installations (both goods and services).36 By comparison, the U.S. O&M market was relatively small, at an estimated $1.7 billion in 2012, up from $467 million in 2007 (figure 4.3).37 Not surprisingly, trends in the installation services market closely tracked trends in annual capacity additions. FIGURE 4.3 U.S. wind energy services market: Estimated value of wind energy services Wind energy services related to development and construction O&M services 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Billion $ 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Sources: USITC staff calculations using data from Wiser and Bolinger, 2011 Wind Technologies Market Report, August 2012; Black & Veatch, Cost and Performance Data for Power Generation Technologies, February 2012; and AWEA website, "Industry Statistics," n.d. (accessed March 27, 2013). EIA website, http://www.eia.gov/tools/glossary/index.cfm (accessed August 20, 2013). Notes: Estimate of net capacity factor was not available for 2012. O&M value for that year was estimated using 2011 net capacity factor. The capacity factor is the ratio of the electrical energy produced by a generating unit for the period of time considered to the electrical energy that could have been produced at continuous full power operation duriing the same period. 35 One source estimates that new capacity additions could be as low as 1,000 MW in 2013. Brown, “U.S. Renewable Electricity,” June 20, 2012; Cusick, “With Congress at Its Back,” January 3, 2013; industry representative, interview by USITC staff, Washington, DC, January 28, 2013; industry representative, interview by USITC staff, October 23, 2012; industry representative, interview by USITC staff, January 30, 2013. 36 Estimates are based on the breakdown of capital costs associated with the development and installation of a new wind farm. Capital costs include the cost of the wind turbine, distribution, balance of plant/erection, engineering, procurement, and construction management services, along with the owner’s cost. It does not include any O&M activities. USITC staff calculations using data from AWEA, AWEA U.S. Wind Industry Annual Market Report 2011, 2012; Wiser and Bolinger, 2011 Wind Technologies Market Report, August 2012, 3; and Black & Veatch, Cost and Performance Data for Power Generation Technologies, February 2012, 49. 37 These estimates are based on average national costs. In reality, costs can vary substantially across projects and regions due to a number of factors including siting, and project and turbine size. Likewise, O&M costs also vary significantly across projects, due in large part to the variation in service offerings and providers. Values presented are USITC staff calculations estimated using data from Wiser and Bolinger, 2011 Wind Technologies Market Report, August 2012. BNEF, “Operations and Maintenance Price Index,” October 23, 2012; Tegen, et. al, 2010 Cost of Wind Energy Review, April 2012, 26; and Wind Power Monthly, “US O&M spending to reach $6 billion by 2025,” July 11, 2012. 4-9PDF Image | Renewable Energy and Related Services: Recent Developments
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