Chapter 4 Geothermal Energy

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Chapter 4 Geothermal Energy ( chapter-4-geothermal-energy )

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First Order Draft Contribution to Special Report Renewable Energy Sources (SRREN) 1 Table 4.2. Geothermal potentials for the IEA regions (Theoretical and technical potentials adapted 2 from Bertani, 2009). IEA REGION 1. OECD North America 2. Latin America 3. OECD Europe 4. Africa 5. Transition Economies 6. Middle East 7. Developing Asia 8. India 9. China 10. OECD Pacific TOTAL Theoretical Potential 106 EJ 9.402 5.509 2.019 6.083 6.930 1.355 3.732 0.938 3.288 2.487 41.743 Technical Potential EJ/year Economic Potential (2100) EJ/year Direct uses 141.060 81.409 30.711 93.145 106.732 20.711 55.379 14.528 48.842 38.203 4 respectively. 5 4.2.3 Sustainable development and the possible impact of climate change on Electricity 8.384 6.896 1.110 2.390 1.710 0.580 4.300 0.100 3.720 0.770 Direct uses 5.046 0.631 6.307 2.018 0.631 0.505 1.261 0.631 2.523 2.523 Electricity 6.441 0.749 4.494 1.947 0.599 0.449 4.494 0.899 2.397 1.498 23.967 800 630.720 50,000 29.960 1,000 22.075 1,750 Equivalent installed capacity (in GWt or GWe)* 3 *Equivalence considers 0.95 and 0.40 as average capacity factors for electricity and direct uses, 6 resource potential 7 Geothermal energy is a renewable resource, yet it is clearly different from solar, wind, and biomass. 8 As thermal energy is extracted from the active reservoir, it creates locally cooler regions. In more 9 practical terms, commercial geothermal projects are operated at production rates that cause local 10 declines in hydraulic pressure and/or in temperature over the economic lifetime of the installed 11 facilities. These cooler and lower pressure zones lead to gradients that result in continuous recharge 12 by conduction from hotter rock, and convection and advection of fluid from surrounding regions. 13 The time scales for thermal and pressure recovery are similar to those required for energy removal 14 (Stefansson, 2000). Detailed modelling studies (Pritchett, 1998) have shown that this type of 15 resource exploitation can be economically feasible, and still be renewable on a timescale useful to 16 society, when non-productive recovery periods are considered. 17 With proper well placement and reservoir management, geothermal energy can be sustainably 18 developed. In hydrothermal reservoirs sustainable production can be achieved by adjusting 19 production rates and injection strategies, taking into account the local resource characteristics (field 20 size, natural recharge rate, etc.). 21 Time scales for re-establishing the pre-production state following the cessation of production have 22 been determined using numerical model simulations for: 1) heat extraction by geothermal heat 23 pumps, 2) the use of doublet systems on a hydrothermal aquifer for space heating, 3) the generation 24 of electricity from a high enthalpy hydrothermal or EGS reservoir (for details see Rybach and 25 Mongillo, 2006; Axelsson et al., 2005; O’Sullivan, 2008). After production stops, begins recharge 26 driven by pressure and temperature gradients. The recovery typically shows an asymptotic 27 behaviour, fastest at first then slowing down subsequently. Practical replenishment will generally 28 occur on time scales of the same order as the lifetime of the geothermal production systems 29 (Axelsson et al., 2005). Do Not Cite or Quote 9 of 47 Chapter 4 SRREN_Draft1_Ch04_Version03 22-Dec-09

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