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First Order Draft Contribution to Special Report Renewable Energy Sources (SRREN) 600-1000 ppm (Refs) 440-600 ppm (Cat III + IV) 300-440 ppm (Cat I + II) TPES estimated by Chapter 4. 1 2020 2020 2020 2030 2030 2030 2050 2050 2050 2 Figure 4.14. Total Primary Energy Supply (TPES) from geothermal resources in the context of 3 carbon mitigation for 2020, 2030 and 2050. Thick black line is the median, the coloured box 4 corresponds to interquantile range 25th-75th percentile, and whiskers correspond to the total range 5 across all scenarios. [TSU: Please add reference to chapter 10.] 6 7 It can be seen that 8 estimations from chapter 4 are within the range of all considered scenarios, yet are higher than the 9 median and are located in the 75%-100% quartile. For instance, by 2020 the median of the scenarios 10 goes from 0.4 EJ for categories V+VI, to 0.61 EJ for categories III+IV and up to 0.81 EJ for 11 categories I+II, while the projected deployment obtained in this Chapter 4 is 2.228 EJ, which is in 12 the last 25% percentile (75-100%) in all cases. A similar condition occurs for 2030 and 2050 13 (Figure 4.14). 14 that the global and regional availability of geothermal 15 resources is enough to meet the results of the modelled scenarios, and also the projected market 16 penetration seems to be reasonable. As a matter of fact, the modelled scenarios would seem to be Geothermal deployment for each of those category groups are presented in Figure 4.14, where also are plotted the projected deployment estimated in this chapter. [TSU: language] So, it seems to be clear [TSU: language] conservative [TSU: language] 17 compared to the potential deployment estimated in this chapter. Do Not Cite or Quote SRREN_Draft1_Ch04_Version03 41 of 47 Chapter 4 22-Dec-09 EJ 0 10 20 30 40PDF Image | Chapter 4 Geothermal Energy
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