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Cost-Effectiveness of Distributed Generation Technologies Fuel Costs The costs of fuel (natural gas and biogas) are not specific to the fuel cell model. However, the amount of fuel consumed is based on the rated capacity of the system divided by the electrical efficiency (based on lower heating values of the fuel). A.2.6 Estimating Future Capital Costs Two distinct learning curves were generated for fuel cells: one for residential systems and a separate curve for non-residential systems. Residential Fuel Cells Due to the infancy of the residential fuel cell technology, limited information is available on historical system costs. Because of this limited information, a progress ratio of 80% from the academic literature was used instead.18 The cumulative installed capacity information was derived from annual industry survey data. Figure A-11 shows the observed growth rate for residential fuel cells from 2000 through 2009. The estimated growth rate is 62%. Figure A-11: Growth Data for Residential Fuel Cells Non-Residential Fuel Cells For non-residential systems, the primary sources of cost data were annual financial reports from Fuel Cell Energy.19 18 I. Staffell, and R.J. Green, ―Estimating future prices for stationary fuel cells with empirically derived experience curves,‖ International Journal of Hydrogen Energy 34 (2009), 5617-5628, June 2009. 19 FuelCell Energy 2009 Annual Report. Itron, Inc. Appendix A-23 DG TechnologiesPDF Image | Cost-Effectiveness of Distributed Generation Technologies
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