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Financial Investigation “Can the project be financed?” Answering this question will be the true make or break of any business venture. If the numbers don’t make sense, then the project won’t make sense. Even in the case of green energy projects, there is no exception. Opportunity Analysis • Who will purchase the geothermal energy? • What is the most profitable target market for your power generation— selling to the grid, distributed energy, coproduction, a combination of each? • If gas is produced, will it be sold to a pipeline, used in a fuel cell, or in a turbine? • How much energy is needed to satisfy the site demand? • What are the resources already available? • How can profits be maximizes from these resources? • Can a Power Purchase Agreement be secured? At what price, for how many years? • Who is the competition? • What is the price to beat of the competitor? • How will this project be financed (debt/equity)? • What is the source of capital? • What is the cost of capital? • What financial risks are associated with the project? • Was a Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats (SWOT) Analysis completed? • What is the anticipated performance of the plant? Note, that for coproduced systems these questions need to be addressed for both the geothermal and hydrocarbon production. Profit Analysis • What is the estimated Cost of Capital ? • Where will the project funding come from? • What is the Net Present Value for the Project? • What is the Future Value of the investment? • What is the Required Rate of Return for the project? • What discount rate is being used for risk? • How many years does the project need to be in production to produce the required rate of return? • How dependent are the estimates based on commodity prices?? • What is the effect of raising or lowering commodity prices? • Are there government incentives or subsidies that may affect the outcome of these calculations? • What is the potential for gains from “cap and trade”/ carbon-credit earnings for this project? • If a coproduction site, what are the earnings from hydrocarbons? • What are the expected gross and net profit from the project? • What is the timeline for the project? • What are the risks associated with not being on schedule? Expenses, legal ramifications, etc. • Given the calculations, the expected budget, and the potential payback, does the project make financial sense? -5-PDF Image | Texas Geothermal Assessment for the I35 Corridor East
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