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10 Cost of Energy Technologies World Energy Council 2013 continue to increase its share of the global electricity mix, particularly in North America, but the relatively high cost of LNG will constrain the growth of gas as a source of power in Europe, the Middle East and Asia. Nuclear’s share is expected to remain steady at around 6%. Figure 2 Cumulative installed power generation capacity (GW) Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance. Note: forecast is from BNEF New Normal forecast scenario from the BNEF Global Renewable Energy Market Out- look: http://about.bnef.com/presentations/global-renewable-energy-market-outlook-2013-fact-pack-2 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Global LCOE ranges Marine Solar thermal Small-scale PV Solar PV Offshore wind Wind Energy from waste Biomass Geothermal Hydro Nuclear Oil Gas Coal BNEF already provides a quarterly assessment of global LCOEs for clean and conventional technologies in well developed markets. Figure 3 shows the most recent figures for each technology across the world, as of the beginning of Q2 2013. The LCOE analysis shows that there is a wide cost spectrum across the renewable energy technologies. The more mature clean energy technologies such as hydro and onshore wind, when sited in a good location, fall close to parity with traditional sources, while more emerging technologies such as marine tidal and wave are still at the early phases of cost discovery. Over time the cost of producing electricity from a given technology should fall at a rate related to the level of deployment, a phenomenon known as the experience curve. Over the past few years LCOEs for PV and onshore wind have fallen dramatically as governments have provided financial support that has encouraged rapid deployment, causing the cost of manufacturing those technologies to come down while the efficiency of producing electricity from them has increased. A key component in the LCOE of renewable technologies is the cost of finance and this varies by technology and location. Typically the more mature technologies of onshore wind and solar PV are accepted as relatively low risk and gain more favorable financing terms. The financing of offshore wind projects however is still highly project specific, depending on the distance from shore, construction technology used and experience of the developer. 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030PDF Image | Cost of Energy Technologies
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