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3.3. Risk Analysis The project completion may occur and the risk could be that the project is delayed for general technical reasons. Such risks could be: • improper performance of some of the construction works; • Phasing erroneous works; • Failure of programming work; • poor flow of information between the entities involved in project implementation; • Making improper maintenance; • Lack of financial capacity of the beneficiaries to bear the cost of maintenance; • Lack of qualified staff. • Failure to value the investment proposed to discourage investment; • Implementation of unfavourable strategies. The highest income risk is due to legislative instability which can lead to the reduction of green certificates compensation scheme. The reduction or total elimination of certificates for electricity produced from geothermal project can turn it from a bankable project into an unprofitable one. Any amendment to legislation that would lead to the decrease of green certificates over a 15-year economic life of the project adversely affect the project. Operating risk can occur through major failure of the system of producing electric energy from geothermal water and poor reliability of components leading to high costs of replacement. Besides the risk of completion, there should be considered the operating risk which includes the technological risk, according to which the project is not up to the appropriate level of income and expenses flow, either through failure to comply with energy production calculated in the project or the maintenance and operation costs due to exceed budget projections. The risk of the project is a possible decrease in the flow and water temperature in the geothermal well 4767. The well operator SC TRANSGEX SA ,which owns the operation license, in this case, will exploit the well by pumping. 16PDF Image | Economic modeling of low-temperature geothermal energy
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