Sand-Based High Temperature Seasonal Heat Storage

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4. Net potential avoided emissions Carbon Abatement Factor The carbon abatement factor is the difference between the avoided CO2 emissions per kWh when using solar and wind power combined with the innovation, and those when using the fossil-based energy (oil, coal, natural gas): 795.9 gCO2e/kWh (fossil-based energy) – 27.6 gCO2e/kWh (renewable energy + innovation impact) = 772.8 gCO2e/kWh. To increase transparency, the net avoided emissions are again presented using the equation from the Method section. 𝑁𝑒𝑑 π‘Žπ‘£π‘œπ‘–π‘‘π‘’π‘‘ π‘’π‘šπ‘–π‘ π‘ π‘–π‘œπ‘›π‘  = 772.8 𝑔𝐢𝑂2e Γ— 736.8 TWh Γ— 30 % = πŸπŸ•πŸŽ 𝑴𝒕π‘ͺπ‘ΆπŸπž π‘˜π‘Šh Table 1 outlines the values of the terms in the equation above. Table 1. Calculation factors and assessment result Unit Value Carbon Abatement Factor Market Volume Market share Net Potential Avoided Emissions gCO2e/kWh 772.8 TWh 736.8 % 30 MtCO2e/year 170 Sensitivity Analysis In order to give some perspective to the results, a simple sensitivity analysis was performed by changing assumptions. The increased emissions from the innovation up to 10 gCO2e/kWh is an assumption to show the relative insignificance of the factor on the total result. According to calculations made by the innovator, forecasts regarding need for energy storage ranges between 10% and 20% of the renewable energy production. These lower and upper values have been tested in the sensitivity analysis in Table 2. page 7 Mission Innovation’s NCI – Accelerating innovation and disruptive low and zero carbon solutions – www.misolutionframework.net

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