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Evidence Gathering: Thermal Energy Storage (TES) Technologies assumed) and the majority of new schemes will most likely use water based TTES. Large scale solar thermal plants drive the integration and deployment of interseasonal, underground TES, as seen in countries such as Denmark and Germany. Based on the limited uptake of solar heating in UK district heating schemes there may potentially be limited demand for interseasonal heat storage using PTES or BTES in the UK over the coming years. 5.3 Future Scenarios for TES market development This section will outline the rationale for two possible TES deployment scenarios with one providing a potential ‘business as usual’ development where TES in the UK would continue on an existing path. Deviating from this, an alternative scenario for the decarbonisation of heat and use of TES for electricity time shifting is presented. Scenario 1 – Business as usual In summary, the business as usual scenario assumes a more or less stable market for TTES in the UK for the residential and small commercial sector, while there may be slight growth in the uptake of large hot water tanks for new district heating schemes. However, there would be very little drive for the uptake of different interseasonal TES technologies for all types of applications specified. Research and development efforts for PCM and THS will continue and some early PCM products could become commercialised within two to five years in niche applications. Electricity price signals Under scenario 1 there would be some price signals for intra-day thermal storage. This would impact the value that could be extracted from district heating schemes with CHP (electricity production) or heat pumps (electricity consumption), as well as large commercial demands also using these technologies. At residential level the only price signals are currently Economy 7 tariffs and under the business as usual scenario no introduction of significantly stronger and more dynamic electricity pricing would be introduced. This would primarily be based on the lack of strong price signals from the system operator, network operators or energy suppliers. A small existing number of aggregators and demand response players would offer the potential for exploiting the small existing signals reducing complexity and ‘worry’ factor for end users. Renewable heat drivers Instead of a significant step change in the deployment of renewable heating technologies, the business as usual scenario assumes a slowly growing market. In the residential sector, there may be modest increases with regards to heat pump sales, at best a stagnation of solar thermal deployment and relatively steady sales of biomass boilers. In the commercial and district heating segment, natural gas fired CHP will continue to be the dominating technology. There would likely be an increasing interest and trials for other technologies that could improve energy efficiency of buildings for 67PDF Image | Thermal Energy Storage (TES) Technologies
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