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14 Summary for Policymakers for use with CO2 storage. If leakage occurs at a storage site, remediation to stop the leakage could involve standard well repair techniques or the interception and extraction of the CO2 before it would leak into a shallow groundwater aquifer. Given the long timeframes associated with geological storage of CO2, site monitoring may be required for very long periods (Sections 5.6, 5.7, Tables 5.4, 5.7, Figure 5.25). 23.Adding CO2 to the ocean or forming pools of liquid CO2 on the ocean floor at industrial scales will alter the local chemical environment. Experiments have shown that sustained high concentrations of CO2 would cause mortality of ocean organisms. CO2 effects on marine organisms will have ecosystem consequences. The chronic effects of direct CO2 injection into the ocean on ecosystems over large ocean areas and long time scales have not yet been studied. Model simulations, assuming a release from seven locations at an ocean depth of 3,000 m, where ocean storage provides 10% of the mitigation effort for stabilization at 550 ppmv CO2, resulted in acidity increases (pH decrease >0.4) over approximately 1% of the ocean volume. For comparison purposes: in such a stabilization case without ocean storage, a pH decrease >0.25 relative to pre-industrial levels at the entire ocean surface can be expected. A 0.2 to 0.4 pH decrease is significantly greater than pre-industrial variations in average ocean acidity. At these levels of pH change, some effects have been found in organisms that live near the ocean’s surface, but chronic effects have not yet been studied. A better understanding of these impacts is required before a comprehensive risk assessment can be accomplished. There is no known mechanism for the sudden or catastrophic release of stored CO2 from the ocean to the atmosphere. Gradual release is discussed in SPM paragraph 26. Conversion of molecular CO2 to bicarbonates or hydrates before or during CO2 release would reduce the pH effects and enhance the retention of CO2 in the ocean, but this would also increase the costs and other environmental impacts (Section 6.7). be disposed of, which would require landfills and additional transport (Sections 7.2.4, 7.2.6). Will physical leakage of stored CO compromise CCS as a climate change mitigation option? 24. Environmental impacts of large-scale mineral carbonation would be a consequence of the required mining and disposal of resulting products that have no practical use. Industrial fixation of one tonne of CO2 requires between Studies conducted to address the question of how to deal with non-permanent storage are based on different approaches: the value of delaying emissions, cost minimization of a specified mitigation scenario or allowable future emissions in the context of an assumed stabilization of atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations. Some of these studies allow future leakage to be compensated by additional reductions in emissions; the results depend on assumptions regarding the future cost of reductions, discount rates, the amount of CO2 stored and the atmospheric concentration stabilization level assumed. In other studies, compensation is not seen as an option because of political and institutional uncertainties, and the analysis focuses on limitations set by the assumed 1.6 and 3.7 tonnes of silicate rock. The impacts of mineral carbonation are similar to those of large-scale surface mines. They include land-clearing, decreased local air quality and affected water and vegetation as a result of drilling, moving of earth and the grading and leaching of metals from mining residues, all of which indirectly may also result in habitat degradation. Most products of mineral carbonation need to 25. Observations from engineered and natural analogues as well as models suggest that the fraction retained in appropriately selected and managed geological reservoirs is very likely25 to exceed 99% over 100 years and is likely20 to exceed 99% over 1,000 years. For well-selected, designed and managed geological storage sites, the vast majority of the CO2 will gradually be immobilized by various trapping mechanisms and, in that case, could be retained for up to millions of years. Because of these mechanisms, storage could become more secure over longer timeframes (Sections 1.6.3, 5.2.2, 5.7.3.4, Table 5.5). 26.Release of CO2 from ocean storage would be gradual over hundreds of years. Ocean tracer data and model calculations indicate that, in the case of ocean storage, depending on the depth of injection and the location, the fraction retained is 65–100% after 100 years and 30–85% after 500 years (a lower percentage for injection at a depth of 1,000 m, a higher percentage at 3,000 m) (Sections 1.6.3, 6.3.3, 6.3.4, Table 6.2) 27. In the case of mineral carbonation, the CO2 stored would not be released to the atmosphere (Sections 1.6.3, 7.2.7). 2. If continuous leakage of CO2 occurs, it could, at least in part, offset the benefits of CCS for mitigating climate change. Assessments of the implications of leakage for climate change mitigation depend on the framework chosen for decision-making and on the information available on the fractions retained for geological or ocean storage as presented in paragraphs 25 and 26. 25 “Very likely” is a probability between 90 and 99%.PDF Image | CARBON DIOXIDE CAPTURE AND STORAGE
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