Opportunities Synergy Natural Gas and Renewable Energy

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Opportunities Synergy Natural Gas and Renewable Energy ( opportunities-synergy-natural-gas-and-renewable-energy )

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Figure 8. Simulated returns for natural gas combined cycle and wind generators using PJM RTO hourly power price and load data for 1999–2008 Note: “With credits” includes variable monthly capacity payments to natural gas generators and production tax credits to wind generators. The natural gas generators were assumed to operate mostly during peak periods while wind generators operated more evenly across the day. This accounts for some of the higher volatility of the natural gas returns, but another major source of volatility is the need for natural gas generators to dispatch only when the hourly power price exceeds their fuel and other variable operating costs in order to generate positive returns. Source: Bush, B.; Jenkin, T.; Lipowicz, D.; Arent, D. J.; Cooke, R. (2012). Variance Analysis of Wind and Natural Gas Generation under Different Market Structures: Some Observations. NREL/TP-6A20-52790. Golden, CO: National Renewable Energy Laboratory. create an electric power sector that is best prepared to adapt to the widest array of possible future outcomes at lowest risk and cost. This is particularly valuable given the long (20–60 years) lifespan of electric power generation and infrastructure assets as well as the experience over the last few decades of highly unexpected industry developments and rapidly changing market dynamics. Natural gas and renewable energy investments have fairly different risk profiles and offer rather complementary portfolio options. Combined pursuit of both can significantly reduce overall portfolio risks in the electric power sector. A diverse electricity portfolio can be continuously adjusted and re-mixed to adapt to changing market conditions over the lifetime of portfolio assets.64 The following section highlights several major issues and their attendant risks facing natural gas and renewabmle energy investments that may be complementarily addressed by the other technology. For this discussion, wind and solar energy are primarily used to represent renewable energy options as they have been the biggest sources of renewable electricity growth in the last decade. However, this discussion is also generally applicable to other renewable energy technologies. m These issues are only a subset of the full suite of considerations for these investments and likely also do not reflect all areas of possible complementarity. 18

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