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FIGURE 9.2 1,557 1,500 Net Economic Benefits of the Geothermal Projects in the Five Eastern Caribbean Countries 2,000 1,000 500.0 0.0 (500.0) (1,000.0) PV benefits 750 PV of net benefits To arrive at this result, we carry out a cost-benefit analysis by estimating the economic costs and benefits of all the geothermal projects. We estimate the economic costs and benefits of the geothermal projects, for a period of 40 years, as follows: • Our estimations of economic costs include the capital investments needed to complete the stages that are pending for the geothermal projects in each country. The stages that are pending depend on the status of each specific project (see Table 9.1 in Section 9.2.3 for an outline of the stages that are pending in each country). Since we do not have information on the amounts that have been invested in the past in the completed stages, we only include the capital expenditures (Capex) for the stages that are to be completed. • Our estimations of economic benefits include the savings in generation costs and the benefits from reductions in CO2 emissions. Generating electricity from geothermal resources costs less than generating electricity from fuel oil. Therefore, the countries will save in generation costs by replacing fuel oil generation with geothermal. In addition, geothermal generation produces less CO2 emissions than fuel oil generation. Therefore, the countries will benefit from reductions in CO2 emissions by replacing fuel oil generation with geothermal generation. Appendix A shows in greater detail the methodology we followed for the cost-benefit analysis. See Sections 12.6.1, 13.5.1, 14.7.1, 14.8.1, and 15.5.1 for a detailed description of how we perform the cost-benefit analysis for each country. Table 9.4 presents the economic costs and benefits of each of the seven projects and the net aggregated benefits for the region. Each of the geothermal projects has positive net economic benefits and therefore is economically viable. When aggregating the economic cost and benefits of the geothermal projects, we find that the aggregated net benefits are also positive. That means that the implementation of the Fund will allow the development of geothermal projects that generate net economic benefits for each of the countries and the region as a whole. 65 PV costs -807 US$ MILLIONSPDF Image | Unlocking Geothermal Power Eastern Caribbean Powerhouse
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