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Sustainability 2020, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW 13 of 22 Sustainability 2020, 12, 20 12 of 21 3. Results 3. Results Ecuador has maintained an energy combination based on fossil sources, where renewable Ecuador has maintained an energy combination based on fossil sources, where renewable energy energy source technologies were constrained by poor development, but now have greater source technologies were constrained by poor development, but now have greater participation with participation with the start-up of large capacity hydroelectric plants. the start-up of large capacity hydroelectric plants. Figure 9 shows three scenarios of primary energy supply. The BAU projects a lower primary Figure 9 shows three scenarios of primary energy supply. The BAU projects a lower primary energy supply, mainly since the other two scenarios propose energy production and exploitation energy supply, mainly since the other two scenarios propose energy production and exploitation policies. In SCENARIO1, national government policies include the construction of new hydroelectric policies. In SCENARIO1, national government policies include the construction of new hydroelectric projects as well as the continuation of oil exploitation [79], so the growth of energy supply is justified projects as well as the continuation of oil exploitation [79], so the growth of energy supply is justified mainly in the implementation of hydroelectric megaprojects [80]. Primary energy production under mainly in the implementation of hydroelectric megaprojects [80]. Primary energy production under national policies will reach 436,847.13 KBOE. national policies will reach 436,847.13 KBOE. Primary energy supply - BAU 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 Biomass Natural Gas Cane Products Oil Firewood Hydraulics Solar Wind Primary energy supply - Scenario 1 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 Biomass Natural Gas Cane Products Oil Firewood Hydraulics Solar Wind Primary energy supply - Scenario 2 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 Biomass Natural Gas Cane Products Oil Firewood Hydraulics Solar Wind Figure 9. Primary energy supply scenarios. Figure 9. Primary energy supply scenarios. The projection of the final energy production in Ecuador gives us the result that the BAU scenario projecTthsethpergorjeacteiosntgorofwththerfeinaachliennge2rg28y,1p6r7o.8d3uKctBioOnEibnyE2c0u3a0d,worhgilievtehseusscetnhaerioressbualtsetdhaotntnhaetiBonAaUl osrcegnloarbiaol proljiecciets tsheowgredatleoswt gerovwatluherseainchfiinagl2e2n8e,1rg6y7.8p3roKdBuOctEiobny, r2e0a3c0h,iwnghivlertyhesimsceilnaarrvioaslubeassoedf 1o8n2,n5a8t6i.o2n6aKl oBrOgEloabnadl p1o2l9ic,4ie1s2s.6h2owKBedOlEow(Feirguvraelu1e0s).inTfhinealoewnergvyapluroeds umcatiyonb,eredaucehitnogtvherfyascitmthilatr ivnadlusetsrioafli1z8e2d,5c8o6u.2n6trKieBsOhEavaendgr1e2a9te,4r1e2n.6e2rgKyBeOffiEc(ieFnigcuyraen1d0)a.rTehceolmowmeitrtevdaltuoeisnmcraeyasbiengdutheetior ethnerfgacyt gthenateriantdiounstfrrioamlizreednecowuanbtlreiessouhracvees,grreedautecrinegntehregyuseeffoicfifeonscsyil afunedlsa[r8e1c] owmhmileititnedthteo cianscereoafsEincguatdhoeirr, oeinl eisrgitys gmeanienrasotiuorncefr[o7m1].renewable sources, reducing the use of fossil fuels [81] while in the case of Ecuador, oil is its main source [71]. 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 KBOE KBOE 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 KBOEPDF Image | Energy Intensity and CO2 Emissions in Ecuador
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