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Total installed cost 12 000 60% Capacity factor Levelised cost of electricity 11 000 10 000 9 000 8000 7 000 6 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 10 588 8 987 0.50 0.45 0.40 45.1% 45.2% 0.35 8183 7737 40% 40.4% 36.2% 0.348 0.353 37.6% 0.346 61 5 510 7 324 5 253 35.5% 30.0% 38.6% 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 73 0.290 0.251 0.253 0.18 6 419 6 474 5 774 31.0% 0.268 0.259 0 4 0.182 27.4% 28.5% .243 20% 0% Note: dashed bars in 2019 show weighted average values including projects in Israel. RENEWABLE POWER GENERATION COSTS 2019 The global weighted average LCOE for CSP in 2019, excluding the two Israeli projects, was USD 0.182/kWh – slightly lower than in 2018 and 47% lower than in 2010 (Figure 1.7). The global weighted-average total installed cost of CSP in 2019 was USD 5 774/kW, excluding the two Israeli projects, which is a fall of 36% from the global weighted-average for projects commissioned in 2010 (USD 8987/kW). If the the two delayed Israeli projects are included, this raises the global weighted-average for projects commissioned in 2019 to USD 6 474/kW. The 5th and 95th percentile range for individual projects commissioned in 2019 ranged from around USD 3740/kW to USD 8595/kW. With a number of Chinese project start dates delayed into early 2020, total installed costs for 2020 are likely to fall again to around the USD 5 200/kW level. A key driver of lower electricity costs from CSP has been the shift of deployment to locations which are, on average, sunnier. Better solar resources directly reduce the installed costs of projects by reducing the area of solar field collector necessary for a given level of power output, and by improving the performance and the economics of the plant. Additionally, CSP projects can achieve the lowest LCOE by including storage to improve the overall utilisation of the project’s power block and associated investments. This has been reflected to some extent in trends in deployment, as the average storage of projects commissioned in 2018 (8.3 hours) was more than twice the level observed in 2010 (3.6 hours). The optimal level of storage varies depending on the solar resource and the storage and collector costs, but is typically in the range of 7-10 hours. These drivers combined to increase the global weighted-average capacity factor by half between 2010 and 2019 – from 30% to 45%, if the two Israeli projects are excluded. Including those projects sees the weighted average regress to the technology specifications prevalent in the period 2011 to 2014, with a correspondingly lower weighted-average capacity factor. The global weighted-average LCOE of CSP plants was around USD 0.35/kWh between 2010 and 2012. In the latter year, virtually all new capacity-added was in Spain (around 850 MW). In 2013, the market changed, however, with new capacity added by Spain that year only accounting for about 28% of the market. Figure 1.7 Global weighted average total installed costs, capacity factors and LCOE for CSP, 2010-2019 Source: IRENA Renewable Cost Database. 32 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2019 USD/kW Capacity factor 2019 USD/kWhPDF Image | RENEWABLE POWER GENERATION COSTS IN 2019
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