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Energy RD Performance: Gas Turbine Case Study

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Energy RD Performance: Gas Turbine Case Study ( energy-rd-performance-gas-turbine-case-study )

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9. CONCLUSIONS AND LESSONS This case study focused on gas and combined cycle turbine success. These machines are technologically very complicated, far advanced from the simple aero-offshoots that gave birth to the modern industrial gas turbine industry. Multiple factors and sources went into the advancement of gas turbines into the power generation market. This report detailed how the interaction of technical R&D with other drivers led to gas turbine success. R&D focused on improvements to turbine efficiency, reliability and emissions, with the most intense work on materials and cooling to allow high firing temperatures. Advancements continued for over 40 years before the interactive period when the current market boom began. Until then, R&D advancements were sustained by a variety of ways. Government funding of military projects were instrumental in the beginning, followed by a few smaller government industrial turbine programs. Many technologies were transferred or adapted from other industries. As the industrial turbine field grew, it emerged with more of its own independent advances. Industry managed to continue this R&D by finding niche or alternative markets which allowed them to continue gas turbine developments outside of the baseload generation market. Other MIT case studies, such as those on advanced gas turbine systems and wind energy, point out some conclusions which can be incorporated. The study on technological change and wind energy noted that government R&D incentives did lead to innovations, but that these innovations were not marketable without commercial support; success required the interaction of markets and technological developments. It further stated the importance of continuity as a necessary factor in advancing technology. Finally, it also noted that energy prices and social factors such as environmental concerns affected development. The other study on advanced gas turbine systems pointed out that government regulatory steps were crucial to the gas turbine transformation of the electric power industry. Further, it concluded that many of the gas turbine technical advancements would have happened without the regulatory spark, but that then gas and combined cycle turbines “would not have been the revolutionary technologies that have transformed the electric power sector.” Unlike wind energy, gas and combined cycle turbines have not been heavily subsidized by government, with the notable exception of technology transfers from military turbojets. However, some key conclusions can be drawn: • Interaction is essential. R&D is crucial, but there must be a market to support the product begin developed. This did not occur for wind energy, where the market flattened without government subsidies. The free market did not meet the product developed. • Until the interaction occurs, developments in energy technologies can be sustained or incubated in non-energy or unrelated markets. Finding an alternative or niche market can be key to sustaining a developmental technology on its path to the baseload power 42

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