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Sustainable and Green Engine (SAGE) Aircraft Engine of the Future

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Sustainable and Green Engine (SAGE) Aircraft Engine of the Future ( sustainable-and-green-engine-sage-aircraft-engine-future )

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gas that persists in the atmosphere over a long period (Daley, 2012). Perhaps surprisingly given its scale today, air transport has hitherto been a comparatively modest contributor to climate change. Emissions from all forms of transport comprise about 23 per cent of total emissions (Rhoades, 2014), and global aviation emissions amount to about 12 per cent of this, or three per cent of the overall level of emissions (Palmer, 2015). This goes some way to explain why aviation emissions were not included in the Kyoto Protocol. Lately the perception that aviation missions are relatively modest has begun to change. In part this is because of the increased credibility given to climate change generally, but it also reflects the continued growth of air transport. Since the start of the jet age in the 1960s, air travel has increased dramatically, almost trebling (Vasigh et al. (2013) in the last 20 years (see figure1). This growth has outpaced any specific reductions in emissions that have been achieved through technological advances. The latter have been significant. Over the course of several decades there have been substantial improvements in the fuel efficiency of commercial airliners. The amount of fuel used per mile travelled has dropped by 60% in the last 35 years, and this has been accompanied by lower emissions (Daley, 2012). Most of the improvement has come from advances in engine technology, in particular the use of higher bypass ratios (BPRs) on turbofan engines that have been the product of advances in fan technology associated with new materials and improved aerodynamics. ************ Insert Figure 1 ************ After six decades of advances however, gas turbine technology is now relatively mature. Consequently projections for the next 15 years anticipate improvements in fuel consumption to be more modest, and are estimated at no more than one per cent per year (Marais and Waitz, 2016). At the same time commercial market forecasts indicate that sustained growth in air transport of five per cent per year will continue until 2030 (Airbus, 2007; Boeing, 2008). At this rate air transport can be expected to double every 15 years, leading to a sixfold increase by the middle of the century (Palmer, 2015). Given the projected sustained rapid growth of the air transport industry, aircraft emissions are expected to constitute a significant proportion of greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 (Daley, 2012), since emission reductions, assuming turbofan 3

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