Unlocking Geothermal Power Eastern Caribbean Powerhouse

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Unlocking Geothermal Power Eastern Caribbean Powerhouse ( unlocking-geothermal-power-eastern-caribbean-powerhouse )

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5.1 United States and Its Electricity Sector Geothermal Resource Potential in the United States The United States has large amounts of undeveloped geothermal potential. A 2008 study by the U.S. Geological Survey estimates that the United States has a geothermal potential of: • 3,675 MW (95 percent probability) to 16,457 MW (5 percent probability) in areas with systems that have been identified20 • 7,917 MW (95 percent probability) to 73,286 MW (5 percent probability) in areas that have undiscovered geothermal systems21 The states with the most promising geothermal potential were located on the West Coast. California has 25 known geothermal resources areas and a geothermal potential that is estimated to be between 3,644 MW and 4,732 MW.22 California was the leader in planned capacity additions, developing resources, and the current nameplate capacity. This is because, on average, the geothermal resources in California are of high temperature, quality, and volume.23 The United States is a large, high-income country located in North America. It had a population of approximately 319 million and a GDP per capita of US$53,143 in 2013.14 In the United States, the summer peak demand was 768 GW in 2012 and the installed capacity was 1,501GW in 2011. The main sources of generation were natural gas (39 percent), coal (30 percent), nuclear (10 percent), and conventional hydro (8 percent).15 Installed capacity for geothermal was 3,102 MW in 2011 or 0.3 percent of installed capacity.16 In the United States, the states with the most geothermal generation and planned geothermal generation are California, Nevada, and Utah. California is a state located on the West Coast of the United States. It had a population of 38.3 million in 2013 and is the state with the largest population in the United States.17 In California, the GDP per capita was approximately US$46,029 in 2012.18 In 2013, California had an installed capacity of 78,133 MW. The main sources of energy in California are natural gas (62 percent), large hydro (16 percent), and wind (8 percent). Installed capacity for geothermal generation is 2,703 MW or 3 percent of the installed capacity. In 2011, net peak demand in California was 60,310 MW.19 5.2 14. World Bank, “World Development Indicators,” accessed May 19, 2016, http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.TOTL; CIA, “The World Factbook: United States,” accessed November 21, 2014, https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/us.html. GDP per capita is in current US$. 15. U.S. Energy Information Administration, “Electricity Generating Capacity,” accessed November 21, 2014, http://www.eia.gov/electricity/ capacity/. 16. Geothermal Energy Association, “Annual U.S. Geothermal Power Production and Development Report: April 2011,” accessed November 21, 2014, http://geo-energy.org/pdf/reports/April2011AnnualUSGeothermalPowerProductionandDevelopmentReport.pdf. 17. United States Census Bureau, “State & Country QuickFacts: California,” accessed November 21, 2014, http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/ states/06000.html. 18. Bureau of Economic Analysis, “Real per Capita Gross Domestic Product by State,” accessed November 21, 2014, http://bea.gov/itable/iTable. cfm?ReqID=70&step=1#reqid=70&step=1&isuri=1. GDP per capita is in Chained 2005 Dollars. 19 The California Energy Commission, “Energy Almanac,” accessed November 21, 2014, http://energyalmanac.ca.gov/electricity/electric_ generation_capacity.html. 20. Identified systems are where the resource is currently generating electricity, where the resource is confirmed (there is a successful commercial flow test of a production well) or potential (there are reliable estimates of temperature and flow, but now successful wells have been drilled). 21. Geothermal Energy Association, “Geothermal Basics: Potential Use,” accessed November 21, 2014, http://geo-energy.org/ PotentialUse.aspx. This assessment was made by studying 13 states and by mapping potential via regression analysis. 22. California Energy Commission, “Geothermal Energy in California,” accessed November 21, 2014, http://www.energy.ca.gov/ geothermal/background.html; Benjamin Matek and Karl Gawell, “Report on the State of Geothermal Energy in California,” February 2014, http://geo-energy.org/events/California%20Status%20Report%20February%202014%20Final.pdf. 23. Geothermal Energy Association, “2014 Annual U.S. & Global Geothermal Power Production Report” (April 2014). 33

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