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Table 11.2 Financial Results of Geothermal Project NPV to Equity Investors (US$ million) IRR to Equity PPA Rate Investors (Real) S$/kWh) 15% 20% 0 5.7 10.8 0.16 0.18 25% 0.20 Notes: The IRR is Internal Rate of Return of the cash flows to equity investors. We assume a 15 percent real discount rate for equity cash flows. In this section, we present the estimated cash flows from the geothermal project. The DCF methodology we use and our main assumptions are in Appendix B. Cash flows from the geothermal project In Figure 11.7, we present the projected cash flows of the geothermal project for a PPA rate of US$0.16/kWh. Cash flows from financing are positive from 2016 to 2017 and are directed towards financing the capital expenditures (investments). The highest capital expenditures occur from 2016 to 2017, when the power plant is under construction. When the power plant begins operations in 2018, the cash flows from operations become positive and are used for repaying debt. 62 35 0 56666677777778888888888888888888888888 FIGURE 11.7 Cash Flows for the Saint Vincent Geothermal Project 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043 2045 2047 2049 2051 2053 2055 -5 -6 -3 -5 -6 -6 -6 -6 -7 -7 -7 -7 -7 -8 -8 -8 -8 -6 -6 -6 -6 -6 -6 -6 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 Regarding financing (Figure 11.8), the majority of financing in 2016 comes from concessionary loans and grants provided by the Fund. This is due to the fact that concessionary financing is directed towards financing the riskier stages of geothermal development that occur in 2017—exploration. However, commercial loans are also used to finance a portion of the investments in production drilling and reinjection wells that occur in 2016. Net Cash Flow from investing Net Cash Flow from operations Net Cash Flow from financing Change in cash for the year In 2017, the majority of the financing is commercial debt and equity that is directed towards power plant construction. Once the power plant begins operations in 2018, the cash flows from operations are directed towards repaying the debt. The net cash flows from contributions and paid-in capital and dividends paid are the cash flows to the equity investor, which we discuss below. 97 US $ MillionsPDF Image | Unlocking Geothermal Power Eastern Caribbean Powerhouse
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