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Sustainability 2020, 12, x FOR PEER REVIEW Sustainability 2020, 12, 20 15 of 22 14 of 21 Final Energy Demand BAU 210000 180000 150000 120000 90000 60000 30000 0 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 2028 Cane Products Firewood Kerosene and Turbo Non Energetic Diesel Oil Fuel Oil LGP Oil Electricity Gasolines Natural Gas Own Consumption Final Energy demand Scenario1 210000 180000 150000 120000 90000 60000 30000 0 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 2028 Cane Products Firewood Kerosene and Turbo Non Energetic Diesel Oil Fuel Oil LGP Oil Electricity Gasolines Natural Gas Own Consumption Final Energy demand Scenario2 210000 180000 150000 120000 90000 60000 30000 0 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024 2028 Cane Products Firewood Kerosene and Turbo ER RNEoVnIEnWergetic Diesel Oil Fuel Oil LGP Oil Electricity Gasolines Natural Gas Own Consumption Sustainability 2020, 12, x FOR PE Figur the scenari of exports foreign inv growth ra SCENARIO Figure 11. Final energy demand scenarios. Figure 11. Final energy demand scenarios. 16 of 22 th in any of the growth the level of verage GDP o, 3.22% in Scenarios GDP Ecuador e 12 shows the different scenarios of GDP growth in Ecuador. Economic grow 150000 os will be affected by the oil barrel price. Government policies are set based on estment [84]. Ecuador has proven oil reserves of 8.3 billion barrels [48]. The a te for the simulation period shows a 3.84% growth in the BAU scenari 1, an9d0030.405% in SCENARIO2. 70000 50000 30000 130000 of non-traditional products, the exploitation of new oil fields, and mainly by 110000 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030 BAU SCENARIO1 SCENARIO2 Figure 12. GDP Ecuador scenarios (thousands USD 2007). Figure 12. GDP Ecuador scenarios (thousands USD 2007). Energy intensity is currently an indicator of the energy efficiency of a sector and therefore of a country. Economic growth is directly related with the efficient use of energy [49]. Figure 13 shows the projections of the Energy Intensity in Ecuador. The BAU scenario shows a growth in energy intensity in the 2016–2030 simulation period, with the increase being 1.42%. On the other hand, thousands USD 2007 KBOE KBOE KBOEPDF Image | Energy Intensity and CO2 Emissions in Ecuador
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