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The Smart Grid: An Estimation of the Energy and CO2 Benefits

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The Smart Grid: An Estimation of the Energy and CO2 Benefits ( the-smart-grid-an-estimation-energy-and-co2-benefits )

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The simplified analysis neglects the economic benefits of off-peak-load charging, even for a small number of EVs and PHEVs, by utilizing higher efficient intermediate or base-load power plants. To capture the benefits of smart versus unmanaged charging requires a comprehensive modeling effort that determines the economic dispatch of power plants with security-constraint unit commitment. With such a tool, the difference in the power plant dispatch between dumb and smart charging can be assessed. However, the results will be strongly dependent on the assumption of the fleet size and assumptions of future capacity expansions. Because of significant uncertainties as to how EVs and PHEVs will penetrate the market-place in the future, in addition to uncertainties associated with future state and federal renewable portfolio standards directives, a comprehensive economic power plant dispatch analysis is beyond the scope of this effort. F.4 Recommendations Because of the significant limitation of the simplified analysis it is recommended to replace the simplified approach with a more comprehensive analysis that analyzes the incremental benefits of load- management strategies in even small but growing EV fleets. This analysis should be done for several years in the future to capture the changing characteristics of our power plant fleet imposed by RPS mandates as well as the growing load imposed by a growing EV fleet. The fundamental tool for performing such analyses has been developed by PNNL in a recent analysis that estimates the impacts of PHEV on wholesale power markets. A report is forthcoming. The results will not only be of significance to this section, but also to other smart grid technologies that impact load shapes. F.5 References Brandon R, E Entchev; T Takeda, H Ribberink, and M Charal. 2008. Part I: Analysis of Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle Performance. Part II: Methodology for Investigating the Impacts of PHEV Charging Scenarios on Cost and Environmental Impact. Final Report. Natural Resources Canada. CETC-O Project IES MG 012. Ottawa, Ontario, Canada. California State Assembly Bill 1007. 2005. California State Assembly, Sacramento, California. Cheng I, D Desai, K Koudigkelis, P de Vasconcellos, P Kaminsky, I Sidhu, and B Tenderich. 2008. Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure Rollout Strategy. Technical Brief No. 2008.1.v.1. University of California-Berkeley, Global Venture Laboratory, Berkeley, California. Accessed December 29, 2009, at http://cet.berkeley.edu/dl/EV1Rollout_Final.pdf DOT – U.S. Department of Transportation. 2002. Highway Statistics 2001. Table 5-1: Motor-Vehicle Registrations: 2001. U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration, Washington, D.C. Draper M, E Rodriquez, P Kaminsky, I Sidhu, and B Tenderich. 2008. Economic Impact of Electric Vehicle Adoption in the United States. Technical Brief No. 2008.3.v.1. University of California- Berkeley, Global Venture Laboratory, Berkeley, California. F.8

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