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Abstract b Politecnico di Milano, via Lambruschini 4, 20156 Milano, Italy Available online at www.sciencedirect.com ScienceDirect EnerSgycPireocnedica e00D(20i1r7e) 0c00t–000 AvAavialailbalbeleonolninlieneatawt www.s.csiceinecnecdeidreircetc.ct.ocmom www.elsevier.com/locate/procedia a d Energy Procedia 00 (2017) 000–000 ScienceDirect www.elsevier.com/locate/procedia ScienceDirect EnEenregrygyPrPorcoecdeidaia0012(290(1270)1070) 02–0900 www.elsevier.com/locate/procedia IV International Seminar on ORC Power Systems, ORC2017 13-15 September 2017, Milano, Italy IV International Seminar on ORC Power Systems, ORC2017 13-15 September 2017, Milano, Italy A World Overview of the Organic Rankine Cycle Market The 15th International Symposium on District Heating and Cooling A World Overview of the Organic Rankine Cycle Market Thomas Tartièrea,*, Marco Astolfib Assessing the fTehaosmibaislTitayrtioèfreu*s,iMngarcthoeAshtoelafit demand-outdoor a, b aPanevo, #606-505 Seymour St, Vancouver, BC, V6B3H7, Canada temperature funcb Politecnico di Milano, via Lambruschini 4, 20156 Milano, Italy I. Andrića,b,c*, A. Pinaa, P. Ferrãoa, J. Fournierb., B. Lacarrièrec, O. Le Correc AbsTtrhIaeNc+tOCregnatenrifcorRInannokvaintieon,CTyechlneol(oOgyRaCnd)PtoelcichynRoelsoeagrychi-sInastitruetloiaSbupleriworaTyécntoicoc,oAnv.vReorvtishcoeaPtaisin1t,o10e4l9e-0c0tr1icListybo,ne,Pitohreturgaflor t t demand forecast P a i o n f a n ev o, # 60 o r a l o n g - 6- 505 Se ym o ur St, V t a e r nc o uver, BC , V6 m d i s t r B i c 3 H 7 ,C t h e a ana a renewable energy applications (biomass, geothermal, solar), or industrial energy efficiency. ORC systems range c bVeolia Recherche & Innovation, 291 Avenue Dreyfous Daniel, 78520 Limay, France fromThme iOcrrog-asnciacleR(anfkeiwnekWCy)cfloer(dOoRmCe)stitcecchongoelnoegryatiosnatorellairagbelemwualtyi-mtoegcaownavtetrtgehoetahterimntaol peloewcterricpitlya,ntesi.thAefrtefroar srelonwewianbitliealesnteargt,ythaepptelcichantoiolongs y(bhiaosmeaxspse, rgienocthederma aml,ucsholsatrr)o, nogrerindeuvsetrloiaplmeennetrgsyinceefftihcieen1c9y7.0sO, RmCainsylystbeemcsaursaengoef efrcomnomicroi-nsceanletiv(easfeawndkWsu)rgfionrgdoenmeersgtyicpcroicgesn.erHatoiownevtoerl,arthge mlaurgltei-mraengaewoatft agpepoltihceartmioanls,pomwaenrupfalacntutsr.erAs,ftearnda Département Systèmes Énergétiques et Environnement - IMT Atlantique, 4 rue Alfred Kastler, 44300 Nantes, France sclouwntirnieitsiaml asktaerti,t thhaerdtetcohtnraoclokgtyhehaesvoelxuptieornieonfcethdeatemchuncholostgryonogverr dtheevewloprlmde. nt since the 1970s, mainly because of Abstract ecoInofomrimcaitniocnenatibvoeust amndoresutrhgaing7e0n0erpgryojepcritcsehs.asHboeweenvecro,lltehcetelda,rgcerorsasn-vgaelidoaftianpgpl2ic7atmioannsu, fmacatunruefrasc’tudraetras, waintdh cpouubnlitcraietisomnsakaneditthesatridmtontireasc,kaltlhoeweivnoglutotiobnuioldf thetfeicrshtnroelloiagbyleovaenrdthexehwaoursltdiv.e database of ORC plants. As a result, District heating networks are commonly addressed in the literature as one of the most effective solutions for decreasing the thisInwforrmkaatinoanlysaebsouthtemeovroelutthiaon 7o0f0thperoOjeRcCtsmhasrkebteeonvecrotlhlectyeeda,rsc,rowssit-hvatloidatyin2g.727GWmanouffcauctmuruelarste’ddaintastawlliethd greenhouse gas emissions from the building sector. These systems require high investments which are returned through the heat pcaupbaliciatyti.onAsfatenrd tienstrtiomduocninegs, athlleowOinRgCtotbeuchilndotlhoegyfirswtirtehliablfeoacnuds eoxnhauitstivheisdtoartyab, awseoorkfiOngRCprpinlacniptsl.eAasnadremsualitn, sales. Due to the changed climate conditions and building renovation policies, heat demand in the future could decrease, tahpipsliwcaotrikonasn,athlyesecsurtrheentesvtoatleutaionnd othfethnewOtRreCndmsaorfkethteoOveRrCthmeayrekaertsa,rweipthrestoendtaeyd2w.7ithGaWdeotafilceudmaunlaltyesdisinosftaelalcehd prolonging the investment return period. caappaliciatyti.onA. fTtehre einvtorloudtuiocninogf ethaceh OmRarCketeicshdnioslcougsysedwcitohnsaidefroincugsthoenprietsenhtisintosrtayl,lewd ocrakpiancgityp,rhinisctioprliecaal nddatamanind The main scope of this paper is to assess the feasibility of using the heat demand – outdoor temperature function for heat demand ampapclrioca-eticoonnso, mthiec ctruernrednst. sFtiantaellayn,dfuthtuerenepwerstrpeencdtisvoesf tahnedOgRroCwtmhaprkoetetnatriealporfestehneteOdRwCitmh arkdetaairledevanalaulyatseisd,owf ietahcha forecast. The district of Alvalade, located in Lisbon (Portugal), was used as a case study. The district is consisted of 665 aspbepucliilidcaailntfgioscnut.hsTatohnveaWeryvaoisnltuebtiHotnheaoctofRneseatcrcuohcvtmeioraynrkappertpiloiisdcadatinisodcnutsy.speodlocgoyn. sTihdreereinwgetahtehepr rsecsenatrionst(alollwed, mcaepdiaucmit,yh, ihgihs)toarnidcatlhdreaetadiasntrdict mraecnroov-aetcionoscmenicartiroesnwdse.reFidneavlellyo,pfeudtu(srheaplleorws,peinctteirvmeesdaiantde, gdreoewp)t.hTpooteesntitmialteofthteherOroRr, Cobmtaainrekdethaeraet deevmalaunadtevda,luweisthweare spceocmiaplarfeodcuwsitohnreWsualtstefroHmeatdRyencamovicerhyeatpdpelmicantdiomnso.del,previouslydevelopedandvalidatedbytheauthors. The results showed that when only weather change is considered, the margin of error could be acceptable for some applications © 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. © 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. (the error in annual demand was lower than 20% for all weather scenarios considered). However, after introducing renovation Peer-review under responsibility of the scientific committee of the IV International Seminar on ORC Power Peer-review under responsibility of the scientific committee of the IV International Seminar on ORC Power Systems. scenarios, the error value increased up to 59.5% (depending on the weather and renovation scenarios combination considered). Sys©tem20s1. 7 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. The value of slope coefficient increased on average within the range of 3.8% up to 8% per decade, that corresponds to the KeyPwoeredrs-:rOeRvCie;wRanukninde;rgeroetshperomnasli;bhielaityrecofvetryh;ebisocmieasnst;imfiacrkceto;mmittee of the IV International Seminar on ORC Power decrease in the number of heating hours of 22-139h during the heating season (depending on the combination of weather and Systems. renovation scenarios considered). On the other hand, function intercept increased for 7.8-12.7% per decade (depending on the Keywords:ORC; Rankine; geothermal; heat recovery; biomass; market; coupled scenarios). The values suggested could be used to modify the function parameters for the scenarios considered, and improve the accuracy of heat demand estimations. * Corresponding author. Tel.: +1-604-349-8750. © 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. E-mail address: thomas.tartiere@gmail.com Peer-review under responsibility of the Scientific Committee of The 15th International Symposium on District Heating and * Corresponding author. Tel.: +1-604-349-8750. Cooling. 1876E-6m1a0i2l ©ad2d0r1es7s:TtheoAmuatsh.toarst.iePrue@bligsmheadilb.cyomElsevier Ltd. Peer-review under responsibility of the scientific committee of the IV International Seminar on ORC Power Systems. Keywords: Heat demand; Forecast; Climate change 1876-6102© 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. Peer-review under responsibility of the scientific committee of the IV International Seminar on ORC Power Systems. 1876-6102 © 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. Peer-review under responsibility of the Scientific Committee of The 15th International Symposium on District Heating and Cooling. 1876-6102 © 2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. Peer-review under responsibility of the scientific committee of the IV International Seminar on ORC Power Systems. 10.1016/j.egypro.2017.09.159PDF Image | World Overview of the Organic Rankine Cycle Market
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